According to Harris/Decima Chairman Allan Gregg “While the limits of our discipline don't allow us to make definitive declarations on such matters, it would be a pretty good guess to suggest that the NDP have fallen victim to their vacillation on the long gun registry. They have dropped 6 points since spring -- losing almost one-third of their support over that period of time. This is the lowest they have polled since December 2009 and leaves them virtually tied with the Green Party in central Canada. While this decline is evident across the country, it is most precipitous among women -- and especially non-rural women -- and in the Metropolitan Toronto area, where the loss since April has been in double digits. This profile mirrors our historic understanding of a major segment of the NDP core and suggests that it may their most ardent adherents that are leaving them.
It is also interesting to note that this decline is not benefiting the Liberals exclusively. In fact, with the NDP under 15% of the popular vote, it is perhaps telling that the Liberals cannot crack 30%.”
These data were gathered through teleVox, Harris/Decima’s national telephone omnibus survey over two weeks between September 9 and September 19, 2010 for 2,023 completes. A sample of the same size has a margin of error of 2.2%, 19 times out of 20. Regional margins of error are outlined below.
Atlantic - +/- 6.9%
Quebec- +/- 4.4%
Ontario- +/- 3.8%
Man/Sask- +/- 6.9%
Alberta- +/- 6.9%
BC - +/- 6.1%