Conservatives and Liberals Deadlocked

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According to Harris/Decima Chairman Allan Gregg: “Once again, our weekly poll shows some small swings in voter preference -- the Conservatives seem to be getting a bit of a bounce in Toronto (most likely as a result of the Rob Ford campaign in the Mayoralty race) but this has been offset by a decline in BC. This noted, both major parties seem to have a ceiling of support that they are unable to crack, making an election call any time soon, very unlikely.”


  • Nationally, over the last two weeks, the Conservatives and Liberals are in a dead heat. The Conservatives stand at 32%, to 30% for the Liberals, 14% for the NDP, 10% for the BQ and 10% for the Greens.
  • In Quebec the BQ remains well ahead of their counterparts. Here, the BQ stands at 43%, to 23% for the Liberals, 13% for the Conservatives, 10% for the NDP and 9% for the Greens.
  • In Ontario, the Liberals and Conservatives are neck and neck, with the NDP well behind. The Conservatives stand at 39%, the Liberals 38%, the NDP 12%, and the Greens 10%.
  • The last two weeks has seen a tightening in BC, where all parties are competitive. The Conservatives stand at 27%, to 26% to the NDP, 25% to the Liberals and 17% for the Greens.
  • The Conservatives are the dominant party on the Prairies. In Alberta, they stand at 53%, to 19% for the Liberals, 15% for the NDP and 9% for the Greens.  In Manitoba and Saskatchewan, the Conservatives stand at 42%, to 23% for the NDP, 22% for the Liberals, and 10% for the Greens.
  • The Liberals hold a six point lead in Atlantic Canada. The Liberals stand at 40%, to 34% for the Conservatives, 18% for the NDP and 6% for the Greens.

Each week, Harris/Decima interviews just over 1000 Canadians through teleVox, the company’s national telephone omnibus survey. The most recent data were gathered between October 7 and October 17, 2010 for 2,020 completes. A sample of the same size has a margin of error of 2.2%, 19 times out of 20.